The latest Megafon poll for Politiken and TV2 shows voters moving away from
the Social Democrats again after a couple of weeks in which the he polls had
seemed to indicate a turning point for the centre-left government.
According to the poll, the Social Democrats would garner 18.7 per cent of the
vote if an election were held today, a drop of 1.1 percentage points
compared to the November poll and a 6.1 percentage point drop on the
election result. The poll is the worst result for the Social Democrats since
“Unsatisfactory,” retorts the Social Democratic Finance Spokesman John Dyrby
Poulsen who suggests the drop in voter sympathy is the result of new
economic forecasts suggesting lower growth and increasing unemployment over
the next few months.
“I still believe we have the right policies. If we hadn’t protected employment
it would have been even greater than it is at the moment and that would have
been a disaster for the country. Politically we have to continue the long,
hard grind and both growth and employment will increase. Then we can see
whether voters reward us,” Dyrby Poulsen says.
The poll says an election now would give the centre-left a total of 78 seats
in the 179 seat Folketing, with the centre-right in a clear majority with 97
The Liberals of former Prime Minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen would take 30.8 per
cent of the vote as Parliament’s largest party by far. The poll also shows
the Conservatives – the former Liberal coalition partner – on 2.8 per cent,
a mere 0.8 percentage points from the electoral threshold.
“Of all of the parties, the Conservatives would rather be without opinion
polls at the present time. Each new poll simply pours petrol on the bonfire
that the Conservatives are currently lighting,” says Party and Voter
Behaviour Researcher Sigge Winther Nielsen of Copenhagen University.
The poll is based on 980 responses from over-18s who were contacted between
the 18th and 20th of December.
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