The latest Megafon poll for Politiken and TV2 shows support for the Socialist
People’s Party continuing to wane, with only 4.2 per cent saying they would
vote for the party – the lowest poll ever for SF in a Megafon survey and
half a percentage point lower than three weeks ago.
According to the poll, the party has lost over half of its following compared
to its election result in November 2011, which was at 9.2 per cent, and
comes at a time when several senior SF members have left the party.
“I would have liked it to be better, but also have to say that the internal
trouble we have had has taken up too much space and our policies have taken
up too little. There has been a lot of controversy surrounding our direction
in recent months and we have to discuss politics rather than internal
issues,” says Jonas Dahl, SF’s newly appointed political spokesman.
“I hope that we have touched bottom and can begin to see some improvement. It
is good that we have had, and now stopped, the internal discussions there
have been so we can move on and discuss politics,” Dahl says.
Megafon’s Quantitative Head Caspar Ottar Jensen says there has been a change
in the explanations given to Megafon as to why voters have chosen to leave
“Since the election, explanations from voters who have left SF have been
primarily about broken promises and too little influence on government
policy. These remain the main reasons, but now we also see quite a few
simply saying ‘it’s all a mess’,” Jensen says.
While the poll may not be pleasant reading for the Socialist People’s Party,
it is hardly much fun for the other parties in the government coalition –
the Social Democrats and Social Liberals – either.
The Social Democrats of Prime Minister Helle Thorning-Schmidt have dropped 0.3
percentage points compared to February’s poll to land on 18.0 per cent,
while the Social Liberals of Economy Minister Margrethe Vestager have
dropped almost one full percentage point to land on 8.1 per cent.
Even the Red Green’s, who have been riding the crest of a wave of support
recently, have also dropped half a percentage point compared to last month
to land on 12.2 per cent; still, however, a great improvement on the
party’s 6.7 per cent at the last election.
Overall, the government and its support party could expect to muster 42.9 per
cent of the electorate, were an election to be held now, with the opposition
on the right side of the political spectrum garnering 57.1 per cent.
Best news for the right is to be found among Conservatives. With the party
having been on a steady downturn since the election, the latest poll sees
the party moving slightly upwards on four per cent, 0.6 percentage points
higher than its miserable showing last month.
At the same time, the Danish People’s Party has also added support in the
poll, and were an election to be held now, the party could expect to gain
17.1 per cent of the vote, up 1.2 percentage points on last month and a
full 4.8 percentage points up on its election result.
The Liberal Alliance too has added half a percentage point to its February
standing to land on 5.6 per cent, while the Liberal Party of former Prime
Minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen has checked in at 29.9 per cent, according to
the poll, 0.1 per cent below February and 2.2 per cent above its election
The poll was taken among 830 voters over the age of 18 between the 20th and
21st of March and has a statistical uncertainty of plus/minus 3 percentage
A - Social Democrats; B - Social Liberals; C - Conservatinves; F - Socialist
People's Party; I - Liberal Alliance; K - Christian Democrats; O - Danish
People's Party; V - Liberals; Ø - Red Greens.
Column 1 - Last election
Column 2 - February
Column 3 - March
Question: Which party would you vote for if there was a general eleciton
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