The latest Megafon poll up to Sunday’s referendum on changes to the laws governing royal succession suggests that it is uncertain that the law will pass.

The referendum is the final part of a series of decisions designed to give gender equality in succession to a monarch’s first-born. Under current laws, a male heir to the throne is always given precedence under the system known as cognatic primogeniture.

Changes to the Royal Law of Succession require a decision by two Parliaments separated by a general election and final approval by at least 40 percent of the electorate in a referendum. Even if passed, the new law would not have any effect on the current line of succession. Crown Prince Frederik is first in line of succession and his first-born is also male.

Poll
The latest poll shows only 36 percent of the electorate willing to turn out for the vote and vote in favour in the referendum, which is being held concurrently with EU Parliamentary elections.

At the same time, the Megafon poll shows that the number of ‘No’ votes and those who will return a neutral vote has risen from 10 percent to 26 percent.

A Gallup survey in Berlingske Tidende yesterday showed the same tendency.

Paradoxically, the Megafon poll for TV2 and Politiken shows that almost 74 percent of Danes would vote for the measure were it a regular referendum.